Match Info

AFRICA: AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS - ROUND 1

Date: 16 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Amadou Gon Coulibaly Stadium (Korhogo)

Referee: Adel M. (Egy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Sports
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
United-kingdom	Sky Sports


	Mali		South Africa

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	5	Watch
	1.82	3.1	5
	1.8	3.25	5.5	Watch
	2.06	3.2	4.32
	1.85	3.15	5.6
	1.91	3.2	4
	1.81	3.16	5.45	Watch
	1.86	3.05	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.06)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	5.01 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mali
50.9%

Draw
30.1%

South Africa
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

30.3%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mali's performance.

South Africa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	13.8%	5.2%

Mali - South Africa Predictions

Users Predictions: Mali will win (47 of 58 users predict this - 81.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.94% – 91.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Diarra D. (G) 2. Traore H. (C) 5. Kouyate K. 6. Niakate S. 17. Sacko F. 26. Doumbia K. 4. Haidara A. 23. Dieng A. 10. Bissouma Y. 25. Sinayoko L. 20. Koita S.	1. Williams R. (C) 20. Mudau K. 5. Xulu S. 14. Mvala M. 6. Modiba A. 10. Tau P. 4. Mokoena T. 13. Sithole S. 12. Maseko T. 11. Zwane T. 9. Makgopa E.
Substitutes
11. Coulibaly L. 3. Dante A. 19. Diabate F. 1. Diawara I. (G) 22. Doumbia A. (G) 7. Doumbia M. 15. Fofana M. 27. Nene D. 18. Niakate Y. 9. Sissoko I. 21. Traore A. 24. Traore B.	8. Adams J. 7. Appollis O. 22. Goss R. (G) 18. Kekana G. 17. Lepasa Z. 3. Mashego T. 21. Mayambela M. 2. Mobbie N. 15. Monare T. 23. Morena T. 16. Mothwa V. (G) 19. Sibisi N.
Coaches
Chelle E.	Broos H.

Preview

Mali could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mali is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mali won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mali
Friendly
06.01.24	Mali - Guinea Bissau	6:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
20.11.23	Mali - Central Africa	1:1 ✺
17.11.23	Mali - Chad	3:1 ✺
Friendly
17.10.23	Saudi Arabia - Mali	1:3 ✺
13.10.23	Mali - Uganda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWWW
- South Africa
Friendly
11.01.24	South Africa - Lesotho	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
21.11.23	Rwanda - South Africa	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	South Africa - Benin	2:1 ✺
Friendly
17.10.23	Ivory Coast - South Africa	1:1 ✺
13.10.23	South Africa - Eswatini	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
13.10.19	South Africa - Mali	2:1
14.01.15	South Africa - Mali	3:0
09.01.15	South Africa - Mali	Canceled
15.01.14	South Africa - Mali	N/A
African Nations Championship
15.01.14	South Africa - Mali	1:1
Africa Cup of Nations
02.02.13	South Africa - Mali	1:2 pen.

Mali - South Africa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide