Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Nacional AM		Araguaína

	1	X	2
	1.50	3.75	5.50
	1.49	3.75	5.7
	1.49	4	6.52
	1.49	3.85	6.35	Watch
	1.47	3.6	6.45
	1.56	3.9	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.46)	3.81 ↑ (3.8)	6.05 ↓ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional AM
60.9%

Draw
24%

Araguaína
15.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.9%

23.8%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

22.9%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional AM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Araguaína has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araguaína than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Nacional AM - Araguaína Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

Nacional AM is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Araguaína has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Nacional AM is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nacional AM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional AM
Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Araguaína - Nacional AM	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	Nacional AM - Monte Roraima	3:1 ✺
31.05.26	Manaus - Nacional AM	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
28.05.26	Nacional AM - Paysandu	2:4 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
23.05.26	Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Nacional AM	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTLW
- Araguaína Futebol e Regatas
Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Araguaína - Nacional AM	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	Araguaína - Galvez	9:0 ✺
30.05.26	Guaporé - Araguaína	3:2 ✺
24.05.26	Araguaína - Porto Velho	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Independência - Araguaína	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
21.06.26	Araguaína - Nacional AM	0:1

Nacional AM - Araguaína