Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finalsDate: 4 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished
|
 |
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 |
|
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Nacional AM |
|
Capital CF Ltda |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.05 |
2.75 |
3.70 |
|
 |
2.05 |
2.78 |
3.80 |
|
 |
2.06 |
2.85 |
4.18 |
|
 |
2.06 |
2.77 |
4.15 |
 Watch |
 |
2.03 |
2.70 |
4.10 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3.04 |
3.98 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.35) |
2.82 ↓
(2.83) |
3.99 ↑
(2.98) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nacional AM
44.6% | Draw
32.5% | Capital CF Ltda
22.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Nacional AM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional AM's performance.Capital CF Ltda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Capital CF Ltda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Capital CF Ltda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Nacional AM - Capital CF Ltda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Cocote ⚽,
Preview
First leg.Nacional AM has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Capital is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). Nacional AM could have a small edge in this match. Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
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