Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Juscelino Kubitschek (Paranoá)


	Capital CF Ltda		Portuguesa RJ

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.5
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.12	2.92	3.88
	2.12	3.04	3.79	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.06	3.39	3.7
	2.1	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (3.35)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)	3.6 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Capital CF Ltda
44.4%

Draw
29.9%

Portuguesa RJ
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

30.6%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

28.1%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capital CF Ltda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Capital CF Ltda's performance.

Portuguesa RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portuguesa RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Capital CF Ltda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portuguesa RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Capital CF Ltda - Portuguesa RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Capital will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Eder Lima 16. Felipe Guedes 77. Mateus Anderson 7. Matheuzinho 95. Reynaldo 17. Richardson 10. Robert 88. Rodriguinho 23. Silva M. 21. Vinicius Baracioli 9. Wallace Pernambucano (C)	1. Douglas Borges (G) 16. Elicley 22. Henrique Rocha 19. Lohan 14. Lucas Mota 6. Marcus Vinicius 10. Romarinho (C) 4. Thomas Kayck 13. Victor Pereira 17. Wellington Cezar 26. Willian
Substitutes
. Bala 11. Deysinho 20. Julen 71. Juninho Carpina 3. Lucas Oliveira 15. Maycon Lucas . Michael Quarcoo 29. Mina 6. Oliveira R. 61. Romarinho 1. Vagner	25. Helio Paraiba 3. Henrique C. 20. Hugo Iglesias 5. Ian 2. Joazi 11. Lucas Santos 12. Vinicius Machado (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
90+4', 🟥,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

Capital is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Portuguesa RJ is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Portuguesa RJ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Capital will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capital CF Ltda
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
15.02.25	Paranoá - Capital CF Ltda	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Capital CF Ltda - Legião	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
06.02.25	Brasiliense - Capital CF Ltda	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
01.02.25	Sobradinho - Capital CF Ltda	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Capital CF Ltda - Real Brasilia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLTW
- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
16.02.25	Portuguesa RJ - Maricá	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Boavista - Portuguesa RJ	2:2 ✺
05.02.25	Portuguesa RJ - Flamengo	0:5 ✺
02.02.25	Portuguesa RJ - Nova Iguaçu	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Volta Redonda - Portuguesa RJ	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLLL

Capital CF Ltda - Portuguesa RJ: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide