Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 6

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Almeida L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Usa	Fanatiz


	Volta Redonda		Portuguesa RJ

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.3	4.4
	1.87	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.82	3.35	4.43
	1.82	3.3	4.26	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.8
	1.85	3.23	4.61	Watch
	1.87	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)	4.27 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volta Redonda
50%

Draw
28.2%

Portuguesa RJ
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28.9%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

28.3%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volta Redonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Portuguesa RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Volta Redonda - Portuguesa RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jean Drosny (G) 2. Wellington Silva (C) 28. Gabriel Bahia 4. Fabricio 22. Juninho Monteiro 8. Robinho 20. Pierre 7. Luciano Naninho 11. MV 29. Heliardo 14. Chay	1. Vinicius Machado (G) 2. Joazi 3. Iran 5. Ian 6. Marcus Vinicius 17. Wellington Cezar 8. Joao Paulo 7. Anderson Rosa 10. Romarinho (C) 11. Joaozinho 19. Lohan
Substitutes
1. Avelino (G) 5. Bruno Barra 26. Caceres L. 30. Caio Vitor 23. Cayo Tenorio 15. Enzo Zaidan 31. Gustavo (G) 21. Henrique Silva 17. Kelvin 13. Lucas Souza 18. Marquinhos 10. PK	23. Alexandre Azizi (G) 12. Bruno (G) 26. Clayton 16. Elicley 20. Hugo Iglesias 15. Kaike 27. Lucas Campos 14. Lucas Mota 18. Miguel Souza 13. Victor Pereira 21. Willian
Coaches
Rogerio Correa	Ferreira D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Fabricio (Pen),
15', Joao Paulo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Romarinho ↓, Elicley ↑,
46', Luciano Naninho ↓, PK ↑,
46', Robinho ↓, Bruno Barra ↑,
52', Pierre 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Lohan ⚽,
58', Ian 🟨,
60', Heliardo ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
60', Chay ↓, Kelvin ↑,
66', PK 🟨,
68', Joao Paulo 🟨,
69', Joaozinho ↓, Willian ↑,
77', Marcus Vinicius ↓, Kaike ↑,
78', Lohan ↓, Miguel Souza ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Kelvin ⚽, Pierre (A),
81', Wellington Silva 🟨,
84', MV ↓, Henrique Silva ↑,
86', Joazi ↓, Lucas Mota ↑,
89', Henrique Silva 🟨,
90+1', Miguel Souza 🟨,
90+1', Juninho Monteiro 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Volta Redonda won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Portuguesa RJ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Volta Redonda will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Volta Redonda won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Volta Redonda won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
25.01.25	Volta Redonda - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
22.01.25	Botafogo RJ - Volta Redonda	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Bangu - Volta Redonda	0:1 ✺
15.01.25	Volta Redonda - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Madureira - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWWL
- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
26.01.25	Vasco da Gama - Portuguesa RJ	4:1 ✺
23.01.25	Portuguesa RJ - Fluminense	1:3 ✺
19.01.25	Portuguesa RJ - Madureira	2:1 ✺
14.01.25	Botafogo RJ - Portuguesa RJ	2:0 ✺
11.01.25	Bangu - Portuguesa RJ	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
18.02.24	Volta Redonda - Portuguesa RJ	1:1
06.02.23	Portuguesa RJ - Volta Redonda	3:1
12.03.22	Portuguesa RJ - Volta Redonda	1:1
14.03.21	Portuguesa RJ - Volta Redonda	0:1
03.02.20	Volta Redonda - Portuguesa RJ	2:0
02.02.19	Volta Redonda - Portuguesa RJ	1:0
19.02.18	Volta Redonda - Portuguesa RJ	0:2

Volta Redonda - Portuguesa RJ: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide