Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 8

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Parque do Sabiá (Uberlândia)

Referee: Dias dos Santos P. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Usa	Fanatiz


	Portuguesa RJ		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	7.25	4.6	1.33
	8	4.4	1.34
	9.34	4.4	1.34
	8.75	4.39	1.34	Watch
	9	4.55	1.33	Watch
	8	4.4	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.39 ↑ (8.3)	4.46 ↓ (4.96)	1.34 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa RJ
10.9%

Draw
20.6%

Flamengo
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.2%

18.8%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11%

18.4%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Portuguesa RJ - Flamengo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Douglas Borges (G) 14. Lucas Mota 13. Victor Pereira 4. Thomas Kayck 6. Marcus Vinicius 5. Henrique Rocha 8. Joao Paulo 16. Elicley 21. Willian 10. Romarinho (C) 25. Helio Paraiba	25. Matheus Cunha (G) 51. Daniel Sales 13. Danilo 33. Cleiton 6. Ayrton Lucas 29. Allan 52. Evertton Araujo 10. de Arrascaeta G. (C) 7. Luiz Araujo 23. Juninho 11. Everton
Substitutes
7. Anderson Rosa 23. Bruno (G) 26. Clayton 20. Hugo Iglesias 11. Joaozinho 2. Joazi 15. Kaike 22. Kevin 27. Lucas Campos 12. Vinicius Machado (G) 17. Wellington Cezar	44. Carbone 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 40. Felipe Teresa 47. Guilherme 74. Gusttavo 60. Joao Alves 56. Lucio P. 20. Matheus Goncalves 54. Shola O. 61. Victor J. 72. Vieira L. 64. Wallace Yan
Coaches
Ferreira D.	Filipe Luis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Juninho ⚽,
45+4', Evertton Araujo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
54', Elicley 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Luiz Araujo ⚽,
60', 0 - 3, de Arrascaeta G. (Pen),
61', Everton ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
67', Willian ↓, Hugo Iglesias ↑,
67', Joao Paulo ↓, Joaozinho ↑,
70', 0 - 4, Matheus Goncalves ⚽, de Arrascaeta G. (A),
72', Juninho ↓, Guilherme ↑,
72', Luiz Araujo ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
72', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Lucio P. ↑,
72', Romarinho ↓, Clayton ↑,
72', Elicley ↓, Alison Matheus ↑,
83', Henrique Rocha 🟨,
84', Helio Paraiba ↓, Joazi ↑,
87', 0 - 5, Wallace Yan ⚽, Guilherme (A),
89', Cleiton 🟨,

Preview

Central Arkansas is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Queens is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Queens have a series of home games.

In this match Queens is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Central Arkansas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 171:187 (average 85.5:93.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
02.02.25	Portuguesa RJ - Nova Iguaçu	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Volta Redonda - Portuguesa RJ	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Vasco da Gama - Portuguesa RJ	4:1 ✺
23.01.25	Portuguesa RJ - Fluminense	1:3 ✺
19.01.25	Portuguesa RJ - Madureira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLW
- Flamengo RJ
Supercopa do Brasil
02.02.25	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
30.01.25	Flamengo - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Volta Redonda - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
22.01.25	Bangu - Flamengo	0:5 ✺
19.01.25	Flamengo - Nova Iguaçu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
27.01.24	Portuguesa RJ - Flamengo	0:0
15.01.23	Flamengo - Portuguesa RJ	4:1
26.01.22	Flamengo - Portuguesa RJ	2:1
17.04.21	Portuguesa RJ - Flamengo	2:2
14.03.20	Flamengo - Portuguesa RJ	2:1
28.02.19	Portuguesa RJ - Flamengo	1:3
18.03.18	Flamengo - Portuguesa RJ	4:0

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