Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 15

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Capivariano U20		Tanabi U20

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.40	7.25
	1.41	4.20	6.00
	1.32	4.53	6.73
	1.35	4.62	7.5	Watch
	1.29	4.4	6.55
	1.31	4.5	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.41)	4.44 ↑ (4.2)	7.11 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Capivariano U20
67.2%

Draw
20.2%

Tanabi U20
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.4%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

20.3%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capivariano U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Tanabi U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capivariano U20 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tanabi U20 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Capivariano U20 - Tanabi U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 🟥,
76', 1 - 1, ⚽,
84', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Capivariano U20 is Qualified for Paulista U20 (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Recent performances by Capivariano U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tanabi U20's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Capivariano U20 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Capivariano U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capivariano U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
04.09.26	Mauá U20 - Capivariano U20	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Flamengo de Guarulhos U20 - Capivariano U20	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Capivariano U20 - Guarani U20	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Capivariano U20 - Água Santa U20	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Grêmio Prudente U20 - Capivariano U20	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTLW
- Tanabi EC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
04.09.26	Tanabi U20 - Referência U20	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Água Santa U20 - Tanabi U20	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Tanabi U20 - Flamengo de Guarulhos U20	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Tanabi U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - Tanabi U20	16:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
20.06.25	Tanabi U20 - Capivariano U20	0:2

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