Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Carabanchel		Aravaca

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.5
	1.86	3.6	3.45
	2.78	4.13	2.04
	2.76	4.18	2.05	Watch
	3.26	3.4	2.01
	1.86	3.6	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.07)	3.72 ↑ (3.55)	2.58 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carabanchel
38.2%

Draw
25.4%

Aravaca
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

25.6%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

25.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carabanchel's form might have worsened.

Aravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aravaca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carabanchel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aravaca than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aravaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carabanchel - Aravaca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aravaca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Carabanchel (3.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carabanchel (votes: 1 - 50%). Aravaca (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 15)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Aravaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carabanchel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.05.25	México - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Carabanchel - Parla	2:2 ✺
17.04.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Carabanchel	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Carabanchel - Las Rozas	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Canillas - Carabanchel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTTWT
- Aravaca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.05.25	Aravaca - El Álamo	6:1 ✺
26.04.25	Collado Villalba - Aravaca	4:2 ✺
17.04.25	Aravaca - Galapagar	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Trival Valderas - Aravaca	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Cala Pozuelo - Aravaca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.01.25	Aravaca - Carabanchel	1:1

Carabanchel - Aravaca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide