Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 29

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Canillas		Carabanchel

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	1.98
	3.1	3.15	2.17
	3.23	3.15	2.17	Watch
	3.21	3.13	2.14
	3.1	3.15	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.94)	3.14 ↓ (3.49)	2.13 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Canillas
28.4%

Draw
28.9%

Carabanchel
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.1%

26%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

25.5%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canillas's performance.

Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carabanchel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canillas than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canillas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carabanchel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Canillas - Carabanchel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Canillas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Carabanchel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Canillas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Carabanchel is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Canillas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Canillas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Canillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
29.03.25	El Álamo - Canillas	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Canillas - Collado Villalba	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Galapagar - Canillas	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Canillas - Trival Valderas	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Aravaca - Canillas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLLTW
- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
30.03.25	Carabanchel - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Torrejón - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Carabanchel - Alcalá	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Carabanchel	3:3 ✺
02.03.25	Carabanchel - Leganés B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.11.24	Carabanchel - Canillas	2:1
17.02.19	Canillas - Carabanchel	0:0
30.09.18	Carabanchel - Canillas	1:1

Canillas - Carabanchel