Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 31

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday


	Aravaca		Galapagar

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.78
	3.95	3.55	1.77
	3.34	3.95	1.83
	3.53	3.97	1.81	Watch
	4.01	3.64	1.74
	3.5	3.7	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (4.29)	3.72 ↑ (3.6)	1.8 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aravaca
24.8%

Draw
24.5%

Galapagar
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

25.2%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

25%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aravaca than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Aravaca - Galapagar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

Aravaca is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Galapagar is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Galapagar is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aravaca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aravaca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
13.04.25	Trival Valderas - Aravaca	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Cala Pozuelo - Aravaca	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Aravaca - México	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Parla - Aravaca	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Aravaca - Villaverde San Andrés	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTWL
- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.04.25	Galapagar - México	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Parla - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Galapagar - Villaverde San Andrés	0:0 ✺
26.03.25	Alcorcón B - Galapagar	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Las Rozas - Galapagar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.12.24	Galapagar - Aravaca	2:1

Aravaca - Galapagar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide