Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Aravaca		El Álamo

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	6
	1.38	4.7	6.2
	1.22	5.25	7.8
				Watch
	1.22	5.6	9.85
	1.38	4.7	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.46)	4.95 ↑ (4.34)	7.21 ↑ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aravaca
69%

Draw
18.4%

El Álamo
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

21%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

20.3%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aravaca's performance.

El Álamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aravaca than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Álamo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Aravaca - El Álamo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - El Álamo (4.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. El Álamo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, ⚽,
16', 3 - 0, ⚽,
38', 3 - 1, Maga ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
60', 4 - 1, ⚽,
83', 5 - 1, ⚽,
88', 6 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Aravaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aravaca is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aravaca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aravaca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.04.25	Collado Villalba - Aravaca	4:2 ✺
17.04.25	Aravaca - Galapagar	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Trival Valderas - Aravaca	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Cala Pozuelo - Aravaca	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Aravaca - México	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLLT
- CD El Álamo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.04.25	El Álamo - México	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Parla - El Álamo	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	El Álamo - Villaverde San Andrés	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Las Rozas - El Álamo	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	El Álamo - Canillas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.12.24	El Álamo - Aravaca	1:0

Aravaca - El Álamo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide