Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Carabanchel		El Álamo

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.5
	2.03	3.05	3.6
	2.04	2.92	3.64
	2.03	3.07	3.71	Watch
	2.01	3.08	3.62
	2.03	3.05	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.93)	3.03 ↓ (3.38)	3.61 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carabanchel
44.9%

Draw
30%

El Álamo
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.9%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

El Álamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

The ML Model estimate for El Álamo aligns with the current prediction.

Carabanchel - El Álamo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Miguel Pacheco ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Miguel Pacheco 🟥,
74', 🟥,
75', 2 - 0, Domenech F. (Pen),

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Carabanchel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carabanchel will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Carabanchel won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Carabanchel won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.02.25	Collado Villalba - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Carabanchel - Galapagar	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Trival Valderas - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Aravaca - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Carabanchel - México	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LWTTT
- CD El Álamo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.02.25	El Álamo - Cala Pozuelo	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	El Álamo - Collado Villalba	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Galapagar - El Álamo	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Trival Valderas - El Álamo	3:2 ✺
21.12.24	El Álamo - Aravaca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.03.21	Carabanchel - El Álamo	1:0
13.12.20	El Álamo - Carabanchel	0:2
01.03.20	Carabanchel - El Álamo	3:1

Carabanchel - El Álamo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide