Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 20

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Collado Villalba		Carabanchel

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.5	3.85
	1.79	3.57	4.01	Watch
	1.79	3.42	4.03
	1.81	3.5	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.83)	3.5 ↑ (3.33)	3.94 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Collado Villalba
50.7%

Draw
26.1%

Carabanchel
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.3%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

26.9%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collado Villalba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collado Villalba than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Collado Villalba - Carabanchel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Corral A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 14).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Collado Villalba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Collado Villalba is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Collado Villalba won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CU Collado Villalba
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
25.01.25	El Álamo - Collado Villalba	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Collado Villalba - Cala Pozuelo	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Galapagar - Collado Villalba	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Collado Villalba - Trival Valderas	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Aravaca - Collado Villalba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLWT
- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.01.25	Carabanchel - Galapagar	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Trival Valderas - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Aravaca - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Carabanchel - México	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Parla - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.09.24	Carabanchel - Collado Villalba	1:0

Collado Villalba - Carabanchel