Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 15

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Carabanchel		Leganés B

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	1.88
	3.7	3.2	1.9
	3.65	3.14	2.05	Watch
	3.9	3	1.91
	4.03	3.2	1.85
	3.8	3.4	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (3.85)	3.2 ↓ (3.45)	1.91 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carabanchel
24.1%

Draw
28.3%

Leganés B
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

26.4%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

25.9%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Leganés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés B than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Carabanchel - Leganés B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Herrero J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 0 - 2, Osei D. ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Ramirez de Arroba A. ⚽,
89', Garcia R. 🟨,
90+9', Camara R. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 0.

Recent form of Carabanchel has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leganés B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Carabanchel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Leganés B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Carabanchel won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.12.25	Trival Valderas - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Carabanchel - Torrejón	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Parla - Carabanchel	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Carabanchel - Alcorcón B	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	México - Carabanchel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- Leganés B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.12.25	Leganés B - Móstoles URJC	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	San Sebastian Reyes B - Leganés B	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Leganés B - Racing Madrid	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Las Rozas - Leganés B	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Leganés B - Unión Adarve	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.03.25	Carabanchel - Leganés B	2:2
19.10.24	Leganés B - Carabanchel	0:0
07.03.21	Leganés B - Carabanchel	1:0
06.12.20	Carabanchel - Leganés B	1:1
06.12.19	Leganés B - Carabanchel	3:1
19.05.19	Carabanchel - Leganés B	1:0
05.01.19	Leganés B - Carabanchel	2:0

Carabanchel - Leganés B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide