The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carabobo 63.6%
Draw 23.2%
Angostura 13.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.1%
26.3%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.3%
25.7%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carabobo's performance.
Angostura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Angostura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carabobo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angostura than the current prediction. (+5%)
Carabobo - Angostura Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Bruera L. (G) 2. Guaramato M. 4. Aponte L. 3. Lujano C. 13. Pernia M. 5. Gonzalez G. 24. Contreras H. (C) 17. Vasco J. 7. Tortolero E. 10. Balza J. 11. Robert Hernandez
24. Gallo M. (G) 17. Farreras A. 4. Montanez A. 31. Gomez J. 16. Silgado J. 18. Lovera J. 20. Castellanos J. 28. Pacheco J. 10. Contreras A. 11. Maza R. 9. Velasco A.
Substitutes
9. Apaolaza F. 28. Arroyo C. 8. Bagayoko M. 20. Chacon P. 21. Choco 6. Flores F. 12. Gil D. (G) 27. Lezcano H. 16. Lopez F. 15. Ortiz J. 1. Riveros T. (G) 23. Williams P.
23. D'Agostino A. 2. Escudero Y. 80. Gomez C. 26. Gonzalez E. 1. Lopez V. (G) 21. Moreno D. 5. Pereira E. 7. Rondon J. 3. Saab K.
Coaches
Merino D.
Castillo O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Maza R. (Own goal),
18', Velasco A. 🟨,
26', Balza J. ↓, Apaolaza F. ↑,
34', Contreras H. 🟨,
39', Montanez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Tortolero E. ⚽, Apaolaza F. (A),
58', Farreras A. ↓, Escudero Y. ↑,
67', Lovera J. 🟨,
73', Velasco A. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
73', Pacheco J. ↓, Rondon J. ↑,
74', Robert Hernandez ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
80', Castellanos J. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
80', Gomez J. ↓, Roca C. ↑,
81', Tortolero E. ↓, Choco ↑,
82', Vasco J. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
90+1', Bruera L. 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 0, Apaolaza F. ⚽, Ortiz J. (A),
Preview
Carabobo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Angostura is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Carabobo is indisputable favorite.
Our prediction for today's Carabobo to win the game is with odds 1.43.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Carabobo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Carabobo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Watch
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Bruera L. (G) 
Guaramato M. 
Silgado J. 
Arroyo C. 
Bagayoko M. 
Lezcano H. 
Merino D. 
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