The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Academia Puerto Cabello 43.7%
Draw 30.1%
Carabobo 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
30.9%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
30.9%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Academia Puerto Cabello's performance.
Carabobo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Academia Puerto Cabello that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Academia Puerto Cabello - Carabobo Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Puerto Cabello (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Romero L. (G) 29. Vargas J. 26. Ramos J. 14. Bortagaray G. 27. Linares H. 5. Gonzalez G. 20. Marchan J. 24. Contreras H. (C) 31. Hernandez J. 11. Pernia E. 19. Castillo J.
1. Silva M. (G) 21. Gonzalez A. (C) 6. Bahachille A. 4. Aponte L. 17. Oliveros F. 30. Mendoza S. 5. Castillo E. 14. Berios J. 15. Cova M. 11. Machis D. 24. Ramirez E.
Substitutes
4. Baptista F. 30. Casiani L. 70. Flores Barrios R. D. 1. Graterol J. (G) 6. Lima P. 17. Martinez J. 44. Melendez G. 8. Moreno J. 28. Osorio D. 9. Ponce A. 16. Rosales R. 15. Saggiomo D.
20. Arzu E. 28. Bilbao J. 13. Duran J. 3. Fuentes J. 2. Guaramato M. 16. Lopez F. 19. Martinez L. 23. Meza D. 26. Nunez M. 10. Orozco Y. 12. Roa K. (G)
Coaches
Sarago E.
Farias D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Aponte L. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Linares H. ↓, Rosales R. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Mendoza S. ⚽, Berios J. (A),
62', Marchan J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
68', Bahachille A. ↓, Bilbao J. ↑,
69', Machis D. ↓, Orozco Y. ↑,
71', Contreras H. ↓, Saggiomo D. ↑,
77', Vargas J. ↓, Flores Barrios R. D. ↑,
77', Hernandez J. ↓, Ponce A. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Orozco Y. ⚽, Ramirez E. (A),
84', Mendoza S. ↓, Guaramato M. ↑,
84', Cova M. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Cabello won 0.
Puerto Cabello is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Carabobo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Puerto Cabello is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puerto Cabello won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Cabello won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Puerto Cabello
11
5
4
2
15:9
6
19
4
Carabobo
11
5
3
3
12:8
4
18
Last Results with these Odds
Academia Puerto Cabello - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.09%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.