Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de la UCV (Caracas)


	Caracas		Deportivo Táchira

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.25	3.15	2.12
	3.49	3.24	2.1
	3.66	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.15
	3.21	3.36	2.18	Watch
	3.2	3.05	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.24)	3.19 ↑ (3.16)	2.1 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caracas
27.4%

Draw
28.8%

Deportivo Táchira
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

29.1%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28.2%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Caracas - Deportivo Táchira Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Táchira (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Deportivo Táchira will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Benitez F. (G) 30. Herrera A. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 19. Mago L. 13. Yendis J. 8. Gudino I. 5. Vegas M. 7. Robert Hernandez 22. Figueroa A. 10. Covea M. 9. Fernandez A.	50. Camargo J. (G) 45. Provenzano F. 4. Fratta G. 13. Camacho P. (C) 2. Sanchez J. 25. Perez A. 10. Sosa C. 11. Gonzalez L. 20. Calzadilla C. 7. Penaranda A. 9. Pollero R.
Substitutes
33. Correa W. 27. Gonzalez S. 36. Gudino D. 15. Larotonda C. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 3. Pagano L. 4. Quintero J. 17. Reinoso L. 29. Rondon J. 32. Uribe J. 12. Vegas J. (G)	1. Araque A. (G) 17. Balza J. 23. Hernandez O. 38. Lozano G. 3. Lusnig L. 6. Montanez A. 22. Oliveros A. 14. Palmezano B. 70. Ramirez H. 8. Villalpando J. 41. Wilches W. 27. Zuniga L.
Coaches
Aristeguieta F.	Recoba A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Fratta G. ⚽, Sanchez J. (A),
40', Fernandez A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', Penaranda A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Robert Hernandez 🟨,
57', Gudino I. 🟨,
58', Vegas M. ↓, Larotonda C. ↑,
58', Robert Hernandez ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
61', Gonzalez L. ↓, Ramirez H. ↑,
61', Calzadilla C. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
73', Figueroa A. ↓, Martinez Aponte C. A. ↑,
74', Ramirez H. 🟨,
76', Provenzano F. ↓, Wilches W. ↑,
76', Penaranda A. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
78', Camacho P. 🟨,
82', Mago L. 🟨,
84', Uribe J. 🟨,
84', Perez A. 🟨,
85', Gudino I. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
85', Herrera A. ↓, Reinoso L. ↑,
90', Perez A. ↓, Palmezano B. ↑,
90+5', Hernandez O. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Caracas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Deportivo Táchira might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 3 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.7:0.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dep. Tachira	11	7	2	2	24:14	10	23
10	Caracas	11	2	5	4	9:14	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Táchira - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.55%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caracas FC
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Caracas - Metropolitanos	1:0 penalties ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.02.26	Carabobo - Caracas	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Caracas - Universidad Central	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Caracas	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Caracas - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLLT
- Deportivo Táchira
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.02.26	Deportivo Táchira - Metropolitanos	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.02.26	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Táchira	1:1 penalties ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
22.02.26	Monagas - Deportivo Táchira	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.02.26	Deportivo Táchira - Deportes Tolima	0:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
14.02.26	Deportivo Táchira - Trujillanos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
05.11.25	Caracas - Deportivo Táchira	0:0
22.10.25	Deportivo Táchira - Caracas	2:3
02.08.25	Caracas - Deportivo Táchira	1:1
23.02.25	Deportivo Táchira - Caracas	1:0
12.11.24	Caracas - Deportivo Táchira	0:4
29.10.24	Deportivo Táchira - Caracas	2:0
21.08.24	Deportivo Táchira - Caracas	1:1

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