The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad Central 30.9%
Draw 29.8%
Academia Puerto Cabello 39.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
29.9%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
29.6%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Universidad Central - Academia Puerto Cabello Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Romo R. (G) 2. Silva K. (C) 13. Peraza E. 6. Mottes G. 24. Cumana Y. 11. Lugo W. 5. Sole F. 30. Gonzalez A. 7. Mosquera E. 10. Sosa S. 8. Zapata J.
1. Graterol J. (G) 29. Vargas J. 4. Baptista F. 14. Bortagaray G. 16. Rosales R. (C) 5. Gonzalez G. 20. Marchan J. 6. Lima P. 17. Martinez J. 11. Pernia E. 19. Castillo J.
Substitutes
9. Alegria J. 42. Araujo J. 44. Colmenarez J. 16. De Sousa D. 45. Deyan I. 32. Flores C. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 34. Guzman K. 3. Pabon Delgao S. J. 21. Rodriguez V. 28. Ruiz M. 18. Sarli R.
30. Casiani L. 24. Contreras H. 41. Cova L. 31. Hernandez J. 27. Linares H. 44. Melendez G. 8. Moreno J. 40. Ortuno J. 28. Osorio D. 37. Pimentel L. 9. Ponce A. 55. Romero L. (G)
Coaches
Sasso D.
Sarago E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Lima P. 🟨,
39', Lugo W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lima P. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
46', Lugo W. ↓, Alegria J. ↑,
54', Sosa S. 🟨,
59', Sosa S. ↓, De Sousa D. ↑,
66', Martinez J. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
71', Peraza E. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
71', Mosquera E. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
80', Zapata J. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
82', Marchan J. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
82', Pernia E. ↓, Osorio D. ↑,
83', Sole F. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 1.
Universidad Central has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Puerto Cabello is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Puerto Cabello has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Universidad Central won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Puerto Cabello
11
5
4
2
15:9
6
19
8
Universidad Central
11
4
3
4
12:11
1
15
Last Results with these Odds
Academia Puerto Cabello - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.64%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.