Match Info

Catarinense 2 - Round 13

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Metropolitano		Caravaggio

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.30
	2.08	3	3.4
	2	3.11	3.45
	2.13	3.05	3.39	Watch
	1.98	3.05	3.4
	2.01	3.13	3.52
	2.25	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.3)	3.02 ↑ (2.9)	3.32 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metropolitano
43.3%

Draw
29.7%

Caravaggio
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

30.3%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

29.4%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metropolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metropolitano's performance.

Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitano than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Metropolitano - Caravaggio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, ⚽,
80', 🟥,
90+6', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 2)

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Caravaggio has had a series of home games.

Metropolitano will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Metropolitano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Metropolitano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Metropolitano	18	12	2	4	36:18	18	38
3	Caravaggio	18	10	5	3	47:20	27	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Atlético Metropolitano
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
01.07.26	Nação - Metropolitano	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Hercílio Luz - Metropolitano	3:0 ✺
14.06.26	Metropolitano - Guarani de Palhoça	3:1 ✺
10.06.26	Fluminense-SC - Metropolitano	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Metropolitano - Grêmio Juventus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWWW
- Caravaggio FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
28.06.26	Caravaggio - Guarani de Palhoça	2:3 ✺
24.06.26	Blumenau - Caravaggio	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Caravaggio - Fluminense-SC	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Caravaggio - Hercílio Luz	2:2 ✺
27.05.26	Caravaggio - Nação	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
10.05.26	Caravaggio - Metropolitano	2:0
21.07.24	Caravaggio - Metropolitano	2:0
02.07.23	Metropolitano - Caravaggio	1:0

Metropolitano - Caravaggio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide