Match Info

Date: 2 February 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Caravaggio		Breno

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.7
	4.2	3.4	1.7
	3.85	3.45	1.72
	4.36	3.3	1.72
	4.2	3.3	1.7
	4.2	3.72	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (2.67)	3.43 ↑ (3.16)	1.71 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaggio
21.5%

Draw
26.1%

Breno
52.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.8%

28.6%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

20.8%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caravaggio's form might have worsened.

Breno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Breno's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breno than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Caravaggio - Breno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Caravaggio is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Breno is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Breno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Breno is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Caravaggio won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Caravaggio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Caravaggio
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.01.22	Caravaggio - Ponte San Pietro Isola	1:1 ✺
23.01.22	Caravaggio - Castellanzese	1:4 ✺
19.01.22	Caravaggio - Crema	2:2 ✺
16.01.22	Legnano - Caravaggio	3:0 ✺
12.12.21	Brusaporto - Caravaggio	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLTLL
- Breno Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
30.01.22	Breno - Vis Nova Giussano	2:1 ✺
22.12.21	Breno - Franciacorta	5:1 ✺
19.12.21	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Breno	2:2 ✺
12.12.21	Breno - Sona	1:1 ✺
08.12.21	Real Calepina - Breno	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
26.09.21	Breno - Caravaggio	2:2
11.04.21	Breno - Caravaggio	3:1
20.12.20	Caravaggio - Breno	1:1

Caravaggio - Breno

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Caravaggio - Breno Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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