Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 18

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Caravaggio		Pro Palazzolo

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.55
	2.5	3.02	2.67
	2.5	3.02	2.67
	2.2	3	2.8
	2.57	3.15	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.02)	3.04 ↓ (3.3)	2.64 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaggio
36.6%

Draw
29.5%

Pro Palazzolo
33.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caravaggio's form might have worsened.

Pro Palazzolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pro Palazzolo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caravaggio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Palazzolo than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pro Palazzolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 6).

Caravaggio is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Pro Palazzolo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Caravaggio
Italian Serie D - Group B
10.12.23	Arconatese - Caravaggio	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	Tritium - Caravaggio	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Caravaggio - Clivense	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Casatese - Caravaggio	3:4 ✺
12.11.23	Caravaggio - Folgore Caratese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWTWW
- Pro Palazzolo
Italian Serie D - Group B
10.12.23	Pro Palazzolo - Folgore Caratese	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Pro Palazzolo	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
29.11.23	Varesina - Pro Palazzolo	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.11.23	Pro Palazzolo - Casatese	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Real Calepina - Pro Palazzolo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLTT

Caravaggio - Pro Palazzolo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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