Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Pro Palazzolo		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.2
	1.74	3.55	4.1
	1.57	3.69	4.96
	1.75	3.57	4.23
	1.74	3.48	4.22
	1.74	3.55	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.02)	3.56 ↑ (3.25)	4.3 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Palazzolo
53.3%

Draw
25.5%

Folgore Caratese
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

27.2%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Palazzolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pro Palazzolo's performance.

Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Folgore Caratese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pro Palazzolo than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pro Palazzolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Folgore Caratese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pro Palazzolo - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Paloschi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 🟥,
83', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Pro Palazzolo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Folgore Caratese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pro Palazzolo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pro Palazzolo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pro Palazzolo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Palazzolo
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.05.25	Sangiuliano City Nova - Pro Palazzolo	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Pro Palazzolo - Breno	4:0 ✺
17.04.25	Cavenago Fanfulla - Pro Palazzolo	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Sondrio - Pro Palazzolo	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Pro Palazzolo - Arconatese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWTWW
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.05.25	Folgore Caratese - Vigasio	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Castellanzese - Folgore Caratese	3:2 ✺
17.04.25	Folgore Caratese - Ciliverghe di Mazzano	5:0 ✺
13.04.25	Club Milano - Folgore Caratese	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Folgore Caratese - Crema	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
29.01.25	Folgore Caratese - Pro Palazzolo	1:5
02.10.24	Pro Palazzolo - Folgore Caratese	2:1
21.04.24	Folgore Caratese - Pro Palazzolo	1:1
10.12.23	Pro Palazzolo - Folgore Caratese	2:0

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