Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Cardassar		Formentera

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.1	2.25
	2.88	3.35	2.27
	2.9	3.1	2.25
	2.91	3.13	2.28
	2.85	3.33	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 (2.89)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	2.25 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardassar
31.4%

Draw
28.3%

Formentera
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

27.8%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

27%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardassar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardassar than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (-1%)

Cardassar - Formentera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', 0 - 1, ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).

Cardassar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Formentera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Cardassar	5	3	1	1	10:4	6	10
9	Formentera	5	2	2	1	7:4	3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cardassar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
20.12.25	Inter Ibiza - Cardassar	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Cardassar - Llosetense	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Constancia - Cardassar	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Manacor - Cardassar	4:0 ✺
16.11.25	Cardassar - Mercadal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 WWTLW
- SD Formentera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
20.12.25	Formentera - Manacor	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Mercadal - Formentera	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Formentera - Binissalem	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Felanitx - Formentera	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Formentera - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWL

Cardassar - Formentera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide