Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 9 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)


	Cardiff City		Colchester United

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	5.25
	1.58	4.1	5.5
	1.55	4.3	5.5
	1.61	4.25	5.22
	1.33	4.5	6.5
	1.58	4.2	5.35	Watch
	1.59	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.37)	4.25 ↓ (4.99)	5.5 ↓ (7.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
60.8%

Draw
22.1%

Colchester United
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

18.7%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff City's form might have worsened.

Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Cardiff City - Colchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Colchester will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Alnwick J. (C) 2. Romeo M. 44. Benjamin X. 26. Simpson J. 17. Collins J. 19. Sawyers R. 35. Rinomhota A. 32. Tanner O. 27. Colwill R. 25. Evans K. 9. Etete K.	1. Goodman O. (G) 2. Greenidge W. 6. Dallison T. 5. Hall C. (C) 42. Fevrie J. 8. Bandeira M. 16. Read A. 22. Tchamadeu J. 10. Chilvers N. 24. Akinde J. 25. Taylor J.
Substitutes
18. Adams E. 45. Ashford C. 3. Bagan J. 34. Colwill J. 28. Luthra R. (G) 54. Ojo S. 43. Semenyo J. 12. Ugbo I. 42. Wigley M.	37. Cooper C. 14. Hopper T. 29. Hornby S. (G) 3. Iandolo E. 7. Jay M. 30. Kazeem A. 23. Lawrence N. 28. Nelson R. 9. Tovide S.
Coaches
Bulut E.	Garner B.

Preview

Recent matches Cardiff is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Colchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cardiff have a series of guest games.

In this match Cardiff is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League Championship
06.08.23	Leeds United - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City	0:0 ✺
22.07.23	Porto - Cardiff City	4:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
21.07.23	Cambrian United - Cardiff City	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.23	Braga - Cardiff City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTLWL
- Colchester United
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Colchester United - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
22.07.23	Colchester United - Peterborough United	1:1 ✺
18.07.23	Stevenage Borough - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Maldon & Tiptree - Colchester United	0:4 ✺
English League Two
08.05.23	Colchester United - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
02.01.15	Cardiff City - Colchester United	3:1

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