Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 8

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Colchester Community Stadium (Colchester)

Referee: Davies A. (Eng)


	Colchester United		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	4	3.75	1.91
	3.75	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.79	3.91	1.94
	3.3	3.4	1.91
	3.7	3.72	1.93	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.44)	3.66 ↑ (3.43)	1.93 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colchester United
25.5%

Draw
25.7%

Mansfield Town
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

27.6%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

27.6%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	9.1%	63.6%

Colchester United - Mansfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Mansfield will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 18. Egbo M. 15. Mitchell Z. 5. Hall C. (C) 30. Kazeem A. 16. Read A. 13. McGeehan C. 42. Fevrie J. 25. Taylor J. 10. Chilvers N. 9. Tovide S.	1. Pym C. (G) 9. Bowery J. 24. Brunt L. 14. Flint A. (C) 12. Gale J. 15. Lewis A. 25. Reed L. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 44. Boateng H. 7. Akins L. 11. MacDonald C.
Substitutes
24. Akinde J. 8. Bandeira M. 48. Ihionvein B. 20. Mingi J. J. 28. Nelson R. 12. Smith T. (G) 31. Thomas D.	6. Cargill B. 8. Clarke O. 19. Cooper G. 13. Flinders S. (G) 2. Johnson C. 26. Swan W. 22. Williams G.
Coaches
Garner B.	Clough N.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 0.

Recent matches Colchester is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mansfield is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mansfield will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Colchester won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colchester United
English League Two
09.09.23	Colchester United - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Walsall - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Gillingham - Colchester United	0:3 ✺
19.08.23	Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons	2:3 ✺
15.08.23	Colchester United - AFC Wimbledon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWLL
- Mansfield Town
English League Two
09.09.23	Accrington Stanley - Mansfield Town	0:3 ✺
02.09.23	Mansfield Town - Bradford City	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Mansfield Town	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
26.08.23	Mansfield Town - Stockport County	3:2 ✺
19.08.23	Grimsby Town - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
08.05.23	Colchester United - Mansfield Town	0:2
03.12.22	Mansfield Town - Colchester United	2:1
08.02.22	Mansfield Town - Colchester United	2:1
17.08.21	Colchester United - Mansfield Town	1:1
14.02.21	Colchester United - Mansfield Town	2:2
20.11.20	Mansfield Town - Colchester United	1:1
02.11.19	Mansfield Town - Colchester United	2:3

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