Match Info

League One - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Adams Park (High Wycombe)

Referee: Young A. (Eng)

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	Wycombe Wanderers		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.72	3.45	2.42	Watch
	2.79	3.68	2.31	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.4
	2.85	3.25	2.44	Watch
	2.71	3.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.18)	3.41 ↑ (3.28)	2.42 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wycombe Wanderers
34%

Draw
27.4%

Cardiff City
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

28.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wycombe Wanderers's form might have worsened.

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wycombe Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.8%	0%	76.2%

Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Wycombe will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Cardiff will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 58% – 94.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Cardiff (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Norris W. (G) 2. Grimmer J. (C) 17. Casey D. 45. Hagelskjaer A. 3. Harvie D. 8. Boyd-Munce C. 10. Leahy L. 44. Onyedinma F. 21. Mullins J. 7. Quitirna A. 12. Woodrow C.	13. Trott N. (G) 44. Kpakio R. 48. Lawlor D. 4. Osho G. 38. Ng P. 6. Wintle R. (C) 18. Robertson A. 8. Kellyman O. 27. Colwill J. 16. Willock C. 22. Salech Y.
Substitutes
6. Allen T. 9. Fink B. 23. Huggins N. 51. Lowry A. 26. Taylor C. 15. Tilley J. 1. van Sas M. (G)	45. Ashford C. 12. Chambers C. 2. Fish W. 47. Robinson C. 11. Tanner O. 14. Turnbull D. 41. Turner M. (G)
Coaches
Duff M.	Barry-Murphy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Willock C. ⚽, Wintle R. (A),
14', Robertson A. 🟨,
28', Robertson A. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
29', Grimmer J. ↓, Allen T. ↑,
30', 1 - 1, Boyd-Munce C. ⚽,
45+4', Salech Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Quitirna A. ↓, Huggins N. ↑,
68', Kellyman O. ↓, Tanner O. ↑,
68', Willock C. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
68', Colwill J. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
75', Osho G. ↓, Chambers C. ↑,
83', Woodrow C. ↓, Fink B. ↑,
89', Boyd-Munce C. 🟨,
89', Lawlor D. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Cardiff has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Wycombe: Scowen J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Personal Reasons) Colwill R. (Injury) King E. (Knee Injury) Osho G. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wycombe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Outrights of English League One for now

Wycombe: 3.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Wycombe	8	2	4	2	13:16	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Wycombe Wanderers - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.15%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Cardiff City - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 29.86%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
29.12.25	Plymouth Argyle - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Luton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	4:0 ✺
20.12.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Bolton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Burton Albion - Wycombe Wanderers	0:0 ✺
09.12.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWTL
- Cardiff City
English League One
29.12.25	Cardiff City - Stevenage Borough	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Cardiff City - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Lincoln City - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
16.12.25	Cardiff City - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
English League One
13.12.25	Cardiff City - Doncaster Rovers	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.07.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City	0:0
English League Championship
24.04.21	Cardiff City - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1
29.12.20	Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City	2:1

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