Match Info

ENGLAND: PROFESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT LEAGUE

Date: 9 May 2023, Tuesday


	Cardiff City U21		Crewe Alexandra U21

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	2.95
	2	4	2.8
	1.94	4.08	3.37
	1.53	4.5	4.4
	1.93	3.94	3.3
	2.01	3.8	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.62)	4.01 ↓ (4.39)	3.3 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City U21
48.9%

Draw
23.1%

Crewe Alexandra U21
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

21.4%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

20.9%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff City U21's form might have worsened.

Crewe Alexandra U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crewe Alexandra U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City U21 than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cardiff City U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra U21 than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crewe Alexandra U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Cardiff City U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cardiff U21 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Crewe U21 will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Cardiff U21 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crewe U21 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Crewe U21 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cardiff U21 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City U21
English Professional Development League
29.04.23	Hull City U21 - Cardiff City U21	2:0 ✺
25.04.23	Cardiff City U21 - Barnsley U21	3:1 ✺
17.04.23	Coventry City U21 - Cardiff City U21	3:0 ✺
04.04.23	Cardiff City U21 - Sheffield Wednesday U21	1:1 ✺
17.03.23	Cardiff City U21 - Ipswich Town U21	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLTW
- Crewe Alexandra U21
English Professional Development League
05.05.23	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Peterborough United U21	0:1 ✺
01.05.23	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Bristol City U21	0:2 ✺
25.04.23	Millwall U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	5:0 ✺
11.04.23	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Charlton Athletic U21	2:2 ✺
06.04.23	Coventry City U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLTT

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