Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	TDMAX


	Cariari Pococí		Desamparados

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.45	2.68	Watch
	2.22	3.6	2.8
	2.23	3.75	2.82	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	2.23	3.53	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.02)	3.53 ↓ (3.66)	2.79 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cariari Pococí
41.2%

Draw
26%

Desamparados
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

25.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

24.9%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cariari Pococí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Desamparados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cariari Pococí than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desamparados than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Cariari Pococí - Desamparados Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Desamparados (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Desamparados (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 0 - 1, ⚽,
84', 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cariari won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cariari is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cariari won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cariari won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cariari Pococí
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
29.03.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Cariari Pococí	1:0 ✺
26.03.26	Cariari Pococí - Pitbulls	2:2 ✺
19.03.26	Cariari Pococí - Aserrí	2:2 ✺
16.03.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Cariari Pococí	4:1 ✺
12.03.26	Cariari Pococí - Carmelita	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTTLW
- Fútbol Consultants Desamparados
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
29.03.26	Desamparados - Escorpiones de Belén	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Carmelita - Desamparados	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Desamparados - Santa Ana	2:1 ✺
12.03.26	Desamparados - Aserrí	6:2 ✺
28.02.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Desamparados	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
21.02.26	Desamparados - Cariari Pococí	0:1
08.11.25	Desamparados - Cariari Pococí	3:1
21.09.25	Cariari Pococí - Desamparados	3:3
07.04.25	Desamparados - Cariari Pococí	2:1
23.02.25	Cariari Pococí - Desamparados	4:0
27.10.24	Cariari Pococí - Desamparados	0:1
07.09.24	Desamparados - Cariari Pococí	0:1

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