Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 17 - ROUND 22

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Cariñena		Ebro

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.5	1.53
	5.5	3.6	1.55
	5.61	3.52	1.55
	5.9	3.65	1.53
	5.5	3.6	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.65 ↓ (7.2)	3.57 ↓ (4.2)	1.54 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cariñena
16%

Draw
25.3%

Ebro
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

21.7%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

20.6%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cariñena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Ebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ebro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cariñena than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ebro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: )).

Cariñena has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ebro is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cariñena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ebro is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ebro to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cariñena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cariñena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
18.02.24	Tamarite - Cariñena	3:1 ✺
11.02.24	Cariñena - Almudévar	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Atlético Monzón - Cariñena	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Cariñena - Fuentes	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Cariñena - Utrillas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Ebro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
17.02.24	Ebro - Cuarte	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Binéfar - Ebro	1:6 ✺
03.02.24	Ebro - Borja	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Calamocha - Ebro	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Épila - Ebro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
07.10.23	Ebro - Cariñena	4:0

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