Match Info

National League - Round 3

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Carlisle United		Solihull Moors

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5
	1.47	3.9	5.5
	1.52	4.05	5.5
	1.56	4.05	5.85
	1.98	3.18	3.93	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6.5
	1.58	4.12	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.54)	3.89 ↓ (4.03)	5.35 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
58.7%

Draw
23.9%

Solihull Moors
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

22.8%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

21.8%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The chances for Solihull Moors have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Solihull Moors than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Carlisle United - Solihull Moors Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Carlisle United will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Breeze G. (G) 29. Armstrong L. 2. Davies A. 18. Ellis J. 24. Grant J. 9. Kelly G. 10. Linney R. 37. Macadam H. 26. Mugabi B. 15. Murray S. 4. Thomas T. (C)	1. Walker L. (G) 2. Clarke J. 9. Creaney D. 26. French T. 3. Green C. 7. McFarlane C. 6. Nicholson B. 4. Osborne J. (C) 21. Rutherford O. 5. Whitmore A. 11. Worman B.
Substitutes
14. Embleton E. 5. Feeney M. 25. Lewis H. (G) 11. Luamba J. 17. Robson E. 16. Wearne S. 8. Whelan C.	8. Bowen S. 13. Brown R. (G) 25. Ryley K. 29. Stevenson B. 16. Tipton O. 30. Watts C. 27. Whyte-Hall S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Murray S. 🟨,
61', Thomas T. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Creaney D. ⚽, Worman B. (A),
73', Armstrong L. ↓, Luamba J. ↑,
73', Grant J. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
73', Osborne J. ↓, Tipton O. ↑,
77', Creaney D. ↓, Whyte-Hall S. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Thomas T. ⚽, Kelly G. (A),
86', McFarlane C. ↓, Stevenson B. ↑,

Preview

Carlisle has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Solihull has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Carlisle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Carlisle has had a series of away games.

In this match, Carlisle is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Carlisle will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English National League
16.08.25	Carlisle United - Boreham Wood	3:3 ✺
09.08.25	Woking - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Chester - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Harrogate Town - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	South Shields - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWWW
- Solihull Moors
English National League
16.08.25	Sutton United - Solihull Moors	0:0 ✺
English National League Cup
12.08.25	Solihull Moors - Everton U21	1:2 ✺
English National League
09.08.25	Solihull Moors - Forest Green Rovers	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Solihull Moors	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Solihull Moors - Derby County	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLTWL

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