Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 7

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)

Referee: Lopez P. (Per)


	Carlos A. Mannucci		Los Chankas

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4
	1.8	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.77	4.26
	1.79	3.77	4.27
	1.73	3.7	4
	1.75	3.82	4.25	Watch
	1.77	3.65	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.26)	3.67 ↑ (3.22)	4.17 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos A. Mannucci
52.6%

Draw
25.2%

Los Chankas
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.8%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

27.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos A. Mannucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlos A. Mannucci's performance.

Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Chankas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos A. Mannucci than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlos A. Mannucci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Chankas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Carlos A. Mannucci - Los Chankas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mannucci will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Los Chankas will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannucci: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Heredia M. (G) 4. Saba E. 19. Miguez P. 24. Rizzo G. 13. Llontop M. 10. Albarracin N. 16. Benitez A. 33. Hurtado C. 21. Vidales J. 11. Cortes J. 9. Succar M.	30. Ferreyra D. (G) 13. Ruidias M. 5. Becerra K. 3. Lujan J. 15. Chavez A. 8. Carabano D. 6. Palomino R. 11. Lopez C. 18. Takeuchi O. 10. Casquete A. 21. Ledesma A.
Substitutes
1. Barbieri J. (G) 31. Caballero E. 14. Cortave M. 2. Cossio A. 8. Herrera Joel 17. Liza P. 23. Mimbela W. 15. Velarde C. 6. Viera G.	2. Gamarra C. 23. Garcia P. 7. Manzaneda J. 24. Mejia C. 4. Mogollon E. 22. Murialdo A. 14. Robles A. 1. Sotillo M. (G) 20. Temoche D.
Coaches
Navarro F.	Bazalar J.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mannucci won 2.

Mannucci is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Los Chankas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Mannucci is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mannucci won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Mannucci won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos A. Mannucci
Peruvian Liga 1
03.03.24	Cienciano - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Sporting Cristal	0:4 ✺
17.02.24	ADT Tarma - Carlos A. Mannucci	4:0 ✺
10.02.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Comerciantes Unidos	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Unión Comercio - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLLLT
- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1
03.03.24	Los Chankas - Sport Boys	2:0 ✺
26.02.24	Los Chankas - Cienciano	1:2 ✺
15.02.24	Sporting Cristal - Los Chankas	4:1 ✺
11.02.24	Los Chankas - ADT Tarma	2:0 ✺
05.02.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Los Chankas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
23.09.18	Los Chankas - Carlos A. Mannucci	0:1
17.06.18	Carlos A. Mannucci - Los Chankas	3:1
19.11.17	Carlos A. Mannucci - Los Chankas	0:0
06.08.17	Los Chankas - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:0
04.09.16	Los Chankas - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:0
07.05.16	Carlos A. Mannucci - Los Chankas	2:1

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