Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Los Chankas (Andahuaylas)

Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Los Chankas		Cusco

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.25	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.25
	2.85	3.4	2.32
	3.25	3.45	2.17
	7.55	4.43	1.41	Watch
	2.83	3.38	2.36	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.24)	3.52 ↑ (3.35)	2.15 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Chankas
27.2%

Draw
27.6%

Cusco
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

26.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

28.2%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Chankas's form might have worsened.

Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cusco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Chankas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cusco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Los Chankas - Cusco Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cusco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Camacho H. (G) 4. Mogollon E. 2. Gonzalez H. 33. Pimienta C. 31. Quintana A. 5. Palomino J. 6. Guivin Tanta J. 18. Takeuchi O. 10. Torres F. 7. Manzaneda J. (C) 27. Bueno P.	28. Diaz P. (G) 8. Fuentes A. 19. Gamarra C. 6. Ampuero A. 24. Ruidias M. (C) 16. Valenzuela O. 7. Da Silva P. 14. Diez C. 10. Colman I. 22. Colitto L. 11. Tevez J.
Substitutes
9. Camargo I. 29. Diaz W. (G) 28. Dioses D. 11. Espinoza Vega F. E. 26. Gonzales D. 8. Quiroz A. 38. Rivero B. 34. Vega R. 21. Zamalloa F.	32. Aquino J. 5. Aucca M. 4. Custodio A. 18. Galvez S. 3. Milesi A. 26. Silva N. 13. Vidal A. (G) 21. Zevallos J.
Coaches
Paolella W.	Rondelli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Tevez J. ⚽, Colitto L. (A),
10', Bueno P. 🟨,
11', Da Silva P. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Manzaneda J. (Pen),
44', Gamarra C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Torres F. 🟨,
60', Colman I. 🟨,
61', Bueno P. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
64', Diez C. ↓, Aucca M. ↑,
64', Colitto L. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
64', Ruidias M. ↓, Custodio A. ↑,
71', Manzaneda J. 🟨,
73', Takeuchi O. 🟨,
82', Ampuero A. ↓, Milesi A. ↑,
83', Torres F. ↓, Rivero B. ↑,
83', Manzaneda J. ↓, Quiroz A. ↑,
90', Camargo I. 🟨,
90+4', Da Silva P. 🟥,
90+4', Takeuchi O. ↓, Zamalloa F. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Camargo I. ⚽,
90+8', Aucca M. 🟨,
90+8', Quintana A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Los Chankas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Los Chankas has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Los Chankas: Saravia F. (Knee Injury) Velarde C. (Knee Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1
29.09.25	Cajamarca - Los Chankas	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	FBC Melgar - Los Chankas	6:1 ✺
12.09.25	Sport Huancayo - Los Chankas	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Los Chankas	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Los Chankas - Sport Boys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWLW
- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
30.09.25	Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Universitario de Deportes - Cusco	3:2 ✺
22.09.25	Cusco - ADT Tarma	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Ayacucho - Cusco	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Cusco - Sporting Cristal	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
17.05.25	Cusco - Los Chankas	3:3
17.10.24	Cusco - Los Chankas	2:1
04.05.24	Los Chankas - Cusco	2:0
Peruvian Liga 2
14.08.22	Los Chankas - Cusco	1:1
15.05.22	Cusco - Los Chankas	2:1
Peruvian Copa Bicentenario
30.06.19	Los Chankas - Cusco	0:3

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