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Current Win Probability
Los Chankas 40.1%
Draw 29%
ADT Tarma 30.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.8%
24.6%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55%
24%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Chankas's form might have worsened.
ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ADT Tarma's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Chankas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ADT Tarma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Los Chankas - ADT Tarma Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Camacho H. (G) 18. Takeuchi O. (C) 33. Pimienta C. 2. Gonzalez H. 24. Rizzo G. 27. Barrios K. 5. Palomino J. 10. Torres F. 7. Ospina J. 20. Torres M. 11. Quintero J.
30. Valencia J. (G) 59. Nunez O. 44. Benincasa H. 99. Pereyra J. 98. Ramos A. 16. Perez L. 7. Rojas J. (C) 77. Lucumi J. 6. Ojeda A. 24. Peralta S. 18. Mazzo A.
Substitutes
4. Campos A. 16. Chavez A. 77. Espinoza Vega F. E. 26. Gonzales D. 14. Guevara B. 30. Kaufman M. 12. Pretel L. (G) 15. Sanchez K. 17. Velarde C.
15. Alvino J. 32. Bauman J. 26. Garcilazo J. 27. Hidalgo A. 31. Navarro J. 22. Rodriguez A. 3. Rugel L. 33. Solis C. (G) 28. Soto J.
Coaches
Bazalar J.
Carrillo G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Lucumi J. ⚽,
21', Barrios K. 🟨,
37', Peralta S. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Quintero J. ⚽, Torres F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rizzo G. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
46', Ospina J. ↓, Velarde C. ↑,
46', Barrios K. ↓, Kaufman M. ↑,
60', Pereyra J. 🟨,
63', Ramos A. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
63', Benincasa H. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
69', Velarde C. 🟨,
72', Rojas J. 🟨,
72', Mazzo A. 🟨,
75', Mazzo A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Torres M. ⚽,
82', Peralta S. ↓, Bauman J. ↑,
82', Lucumi J. ↓, Alvino J. ↑,
83', Nunez O. 🟨,
84', Torres F. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
87', Quintero J. ↓, Gonzales D. ↑,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 15th and 17th).
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
ADT may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Los Chankas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Los Chankas: Ayarza A.
(Red Card).
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Los Chankas has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:8 (averaging 0.8:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Los Chankas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).
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Camacho H. (G) 
Pimienta C. 
Gonzalez H. 
Ospina J. 
Rojas J. (C) 
