Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 18

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal Los Chankas (Andahuaylas)

Referee: Palomino M. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Los Chankas		ADT Tarma

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.37	3.2	2.6
	2.52	3.35	2.72	Watch
	2.52	3.4	2.8
				Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.62
	2.47	3.52	2.84	Watch
	2.52	3.35	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.56)	3.35 ↓ (3.36)	2.71 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Los Chankas
37.6%

Draw
27.9%

ADT Tarma
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

28.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

28.6%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Los Chankas - ADT Tarma Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Los Chankas will win (votes: 3 - 50%). ADT will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Los Chankas (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Chankas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Camacho H. (G) 18. Takeuchi O. 4. Mogollon E. 2. Gonzalez H. 33. Pimienta C. 26. Gonzales D. 10. Torres F. 6. Guivin Tanta J. (C) 8. Quiroz A. 7. Manzaneda J. 27. Bueno P.	1. Grados C. (G) 3. Narvaez J. 28. Soto J. 16. Choi G. (C) 24. Perez A. 88. Barreto G. 8. Moyano A. 14. Cabello C. 77. Da Luz M. 7. Rojas J. 11. Vidales J.
Substitutes
9. Camargo I. 14. Fernandez F. 15. Mifflin L. 5. Palomino J. 12. Sanchez A. (G) 23. Santiago G. 3. Schmidt F. 21. Zamalloa F.	15. Alvino J. 13. Azanero E. (G) 6. Bersano F. 27. Hidalgo A. 23. Montenegro D. 18. Pinto O. 9. Rengifo H. 29. Robles A.
Coaches
Paolella W.	Romero Matos O. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Bueno P. (Pen),
45+4', Soto J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Perez A. ↓, Bersano F. ↑,
53', Moyano A. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
57', Bueno P. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
60', Da Luz M. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
64', Manzaneda J. 🟨,
80', Torres F. ↓, Mifflin L. ↑,
81', Manzaneda J. ↓, Palomino J. ↑,
81', Soto J. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Vidales J. ⚽, Cabello C. (A),
90+5', Bersano F. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).

Los Chankas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

ADT is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in ADT: Desio G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in ADT: Fernandez A. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1
27.06.25	Ayacucho - Los Chankas	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal	3:1 ✺
14.06.25	Juan Pablo II College - Los Chankas	3:0 ✺
01.06.25	Los Chankas - Alianza Atlético	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Cusco - Los Chankas	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWLLT
- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1
28.06.25	ADT Tarma - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0 ✺
20.06.25	Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma	5:0 ✺
25.05.25	ADT Tarma - Ayacucho	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	ADT Tarma - Juan Pablo II College	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
27.07.24	ADT Tarma - Los Chankas	2:1
11.02.24	Los Chankas - ADT Tarma	2:0

Upcoming Matches