The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Cristal 64.7%
Draw 20.2%
Los Chankas 15.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68%
19.5%
12.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.7%
18.8%
12%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Sporting Cristal - Los Chankas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 20. Araujo M. 5. Lutiger R. 90. Cristiano 6. Alvarez Wallace A. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 7. Gonzalez S. 16. Iberico L. 23. Castro M. 22. Hoyos M.
1. Camacho H. (G) 18. Takeuchi O. (C) 33. Pimienta C. 2. Gonzalez H. 26. Gonzales D. 31. Quintana A. 17. Velarde C. 5. Palomino J. 77. Espinoza Vega F. E. 10. Torres F. 11. Quintero J.
Substitutes
96. Abram L. 11. Avila I. 29. Barcos H. 33. Bautista C. (G) 77. Cuesta J. 32. Diaz L. 27. Gabriel 18. Gonzalez J. 25. Tavara M.
6. Ayarza A. 27. Barrios K. 14. Guevara B. 30. Kaufman M. 7. Ospina J. 12. Pretel L. (G) 15. Sanchez K. 20. Torres M. 13. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Mosquera R.
Paolella W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Hoyos M. (A),
32', Velarde C. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Iberico L. ⚽, Yotun Y. (A),
44', Alvarez Wallace A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', Quintana A. 🟨,
60', Espinoza Vega F. E. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
61', Takeuchi O. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
64', 3 - 0, Yotun Y. ⚽, Hoyos M. (A),
65', Hoyos M. ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
65', Iberico L. ↓, Cuesta J. ↑,
67', Alvarez Wallace A. ↓, Tavara M. ↑,
75', 4 - 0, Yotun Y. ⚽, Tavara M. (A),
80', Gonzales D. ↓, Ayarza A. ↑,
80', Quintana A. ↓, Guevara B. ↑,
80', Velarde C. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
84', Cuesta J. 🟨,
85', Yotun Y. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
85', Castro M. ↓, Abram L. ↑,
90+1', 5 - 0, Cuesta J. ⚽, Cristiano (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 1.
Sporting Cristal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Los Chankas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Los Chankas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Sporting Cristal is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cabellos C.
(Red Card)
Gonzales C.
(Knee Injury)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Los Chankas: Rizzo G.
(Red Card)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.7:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
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Enriquez D. (G) 
Sosa L. 
Cristiano 
Gonzalez S. 
Quintero J. 
Ayarza A. 
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