Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Victor Montoya Segura (Jaen)


	Carlos Stein		Juan Aurich

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.33	1.55
	3.66	4.23	1.54
	4.2	4.75	1.57
	4.2	4.75	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↓ (4.17)	4.52 ↑ (3.55)	1.55 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Stein
22.2%

Draw
19.9%

Juan Aurich
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

25.6%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

25.3%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Stein has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Juan Aurich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Aurich's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Stein than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Aurich than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Carlos Stein - Juan Aurich Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Ulloa V. (G) 3. Cabrera A. 23. Duque L. 5. Lopez L. 10. Manicero D. 13. Mesones F. 7. Osorio A. 19. Ponce J. 32. Rivas B. 4. Torres J. 77. Velarde M.	1. Quiroz R. (G) 25. Alfani R. 11. Almircar Rai C. C. 6. Carrillo L. 7. Chavez N. 27. Lopez A. 10. Lugo K. 20. Perez F. 13. Reyes O. 33. Rodriguez Carreno D. A. 21. Salcedo J.
Substitutes
9. Almiron S. 92. Cisneros Guerrero A. 12. Flores J. (G) 6. Leyva R. 27. Paz A. 30. Tocto J.	22. Cieza C. 23. Diaz L. 26. Guidino Otero J. A. 24. Larrea F. (G) 18. Pallares S. 9. Rivas C. 28. Silva M.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8).

Carlos Stein is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Juan Aurich is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carlos Stein could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Juan Aurich is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Carlos Stein won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Carlos Stein won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Carlos Stein
Peruvian Liga 2
15.08.23	Carlos Stein - Universidad San Martín	0:3 ✺
08.08.23	Pirata - Carlos Stein	2:2 ✺
04.08.23	Carlos Stein - Unión Huaral	3:3 ✺
30.07.23	Comerciantes Belén - Carlos Stein	1:1 ✺
24.07.23	Carlos Stein - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LTTTL
- Juan Aurich
Peruvian Liga 2
16.08.23	Juan Aurich - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
10.08.23	Universidad San Martín - Juan Aurich	0:1 ✺
02.08.23	Juan Aurich - Deportivo Coopsol	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Juan Aurich - Pirata	1:1 ✺
25.07.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Juan Aurich	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
30.05.23	Juan Aurich - Carlos Stein	3:1
06.09.21	Carlos Stein - Juan Aurich	0:2
08.07.21	Juan Aurich - Carlos Stein	1:1

Carlos Stein - Juan Aurich: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide