Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 16 August 2023, Wednesday


	Juan Aurich		Comerciantes Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.25
	2.05	3.24	3.19
	2.15	3.38	3.08	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.59)	3.32 ↓ (3.34)	2.96 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Aurich
41.8%

Draw
27.4%

Comerciantes Unidos
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

27.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

27.8%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Aurich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Aurich's performance.

Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Comerciantes Unidos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Aurich than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Aurich that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comerciantes Unidos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Juan Aurich - Comerciantes Unidos Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Juan Aurich will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juan Aurich: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quiroz R. (G) 25. Alfani R. 11. Almircar Rai C. C. 6. Carrillo L. 7. Chavez N. 27. Lopez A. 10. Lugo K. (C) 20. Perez F. 13. Reyes O. 33. Rodriguez Carreno D. A. 21. Salcedo J.	21. Campos D. (G) 11. Aponza Y. 7. Becerra P. 16. Bosmediano J. 25. Lopez K. 23. Magallanes P. 3. Mena J. 5. Peral P. 10. Santamaria K. 9. Sen M. (C) 4. Valverde L.
Substitutes
3. Butron F. 22. Cieza C. 23. Diaz L. 29. Guevara A. 26. Guidino Otero J. A. 24. Larrea F. (G) 9. Rivas C.	1. Anderson R. (G) 30. Bazan R. 2. Canova J. 14. Lasso C. 28. Mendoza J. 6. Paico K. 32. Salinas R.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Apertura: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juan Aurich won 2.

Recent matches Juan Aurich is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Comerciantes Unidos in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Juan Aurich won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Juan Aurich won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Aurich
Peruvian Liga 2
10.08.23	Universidad San Martín - Juan Aurich	0:1 ✺
02.08.23	Juan Aurich - Deportivo Coopsol	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Juan Aurich - Pirata	1:1 ✺
25.07.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Juan Aurich	3:0 ✺
16.07.23	Juan Aurich - Unión Huaral	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTTLT
- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 2
09.08.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Deportivo Coopsol	1:0 ✺
03.08.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Comerciantes Unidos	0:1 ✺
30.07.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Santos	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2 ✺
19.07.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Ayacucho	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
23.05.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Juan Aurich	2:2
28.08.22	Juan Aurich - Comerciantes Unidos	2:1
28.05.22	Comerciantes Unidos - Juan Aurich	4:3
10.08.21	Juan Aurich - Comerciantes Unidos	1:1
25.05.21	Comerciantes Unidos - Juan Aurich	1:2
07.12.20	Comerciantes Unidos - Juan Aurich	5:1
06.10.19	Juan Aurich - Comerciantes Unidos	0:0

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