Match Info

COSTA RICA: Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday


	Carmelita		Quepos

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	1.9
	3.45	3.7	1.86
	3.38	3.43	1.88
	3.57	3.63	1.96	Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.95
	3.53	3.46	1.9	Watch
	3.45	3.7	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 (3.45)	3.52 ↓ (3.83)	1.9 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmelita
26.3%

Draw
25.9%

Quepos
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

23.9%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

23.2%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmelita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Quepos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quepos than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Carmelita - Quepos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Chaves F. ⚽,
71', 0 - 2, Cordero E. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carmelita won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Carmelita could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Quepos Cambute will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Carmelita won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 5:20 (average 0.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Carmelita won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
06.03.25	Carmelita - Municipal Grecia	4:2 ✺
03.03.25	Deportivo Upala - Carmelita	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Carmelita - San Carlos	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Cofutpa - Carmelita	3:2 ✺
10.02.25	Carmelita - Inter San Carlos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTLT
- Quepos FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
05.03.25	Quepos - San Carlos	5:2 ✺
02.03.25	Quepos - Cofutpa	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	Inter San Carlos - Quepos	4:3 ✺
19.02.25	Quepos - Sarchi	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Jicaral - Quepos	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
25.01.25	Quepos - Carmelita	4:1
22.09.24	Quepos - Carmelita	4:1
10.08.24	Carmelita - Quepos	0:1
11.03.24	Carmelita - Quepos	0:2
28.01.24	Quepos - Carmelita	1:0
01.10.23	Quepos - Carmelita	3:1
13.08.23	Carmelita - Quepos	1:2

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