Match Info

COSTA RICA: Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday


	Carmelita		Municipal Grecia

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.37
	2.43	3.4	2.55
	2.49	3.5	2.47
	2.56	3.44	2.61	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.25
	2.53	3.3	2.43
	2.43	3.4	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.66)	3.39 ↑ (3.36)	2.46 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmelita
36.1%

Draw
26.9%

Municipal Grecia
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

26.8%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

26.7%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmelita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Municipal Grecia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Grecia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Carmelita - Municipal Grecia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Obregon K. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Camacho L. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Chavez F. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 2 - 2, Jimenez A. ⚽,
54', 3 - 2, Camacho L. ⚽,
87', 4 - 2, Hidalgp P. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carmelita won 1.

Recent matches Carmelita is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grecia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carmelita could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Carmelita won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14:17 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Carmelita won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
03.03.25	Deportivo Upala - Carmelita	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Carmelita - San Carlos	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Cofutpa - Carmelita	3:2 ✺
10.02.25	Carmelita - Inter San Carlos	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Sarchi - Carmelita	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLTL
- Municipal Grecia
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
28.02.25	Municipal Grecia - San Carlos	6:2 ✺
23.02.25	Cofutpa - Municipal Grecia	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Municipal Grecia - Inter San Carlos	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Sarchi - Municipal Grecia	0:3 ✺
10.02.25	Municipal Grecia - Jicaral	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
20.01.25	Municipal Grecia - Carmelita	4:2
18.09.24	Municipal Grecia - Carmelita	1:1
02.08.24	Carmelita - Municipal Grecia	2:1
Club Friendly
21.07.23	Carmelita - Municipal Grecia	1:1
Costa Rican Primera Division
24.03.19	Municipal Grecia - Carmelita	1:1
30.01.19	Carmelita - Municipal Grecia	0:1
21.10.18	Municipal Grecia - Carmelita	2:0

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