The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caronnese 21.2%
Draw 26.9%
Arconatese 51.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.4%
26.9%
51.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.8%
26.1%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caronnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Arconatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arconatese than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs)).
Caronnese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Arconatese is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Caronnese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Arconatese is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Caronnese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Caronnese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.