Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 24

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday


	Desenzano Calvina		Caronnese

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	4.5
	1.7	3.4	4.35
	1.68	3.43	4.46
	1.65	3.7	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.55)	3.51 ↓ (3.62)	4.52 ↓ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
54.2%

Draw
25.8%

Caronnese
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24.5%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.9%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Caronnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desenzano Calvina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Desenzano Calvina - Caronnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Desenzano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caronnese has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Desenzano is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Desenzano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.02.23	Arconatese - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Desenzano Calvina - Brusaporto	2:2 ✺
29.01.23	Breno - Desenzano Calvina	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Desenzano Calvina - Villa Valle	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Desenzano Calvina - Real Calepina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTTTT
- SC Caronnese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
12.02.23	Caronnese - Seregno	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	Varesina - Caronnese	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Caronnese - Alcione	0:2 ✺
22.01.23	Casatese - Caronnese	2:2 ✺
15.01.23	Caronnese - Franciacorta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
16.10.22	Caronnese - Desenzano Calvina	2:0

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