Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 25

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Caronnese		Real Calepina

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.95	2.2
	3.15	2.85	2.25
	3.49	2.97	2.07
	2.6	3	2.4
	3.44	3.15	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.31)	2.98 ↑ (2.97)	2.2 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caronnese
28.8%

Draw
30.2%

Real Calepina
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

30.3%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

28.6%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caronnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Caronnese aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Caronnese - Real Calepina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Caronnese has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Real Calepina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caronnese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Caronnese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
19.02.23	Desenzano Calvina - Caronnese	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Caronnese - Seregno	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	Varesina - Caronnese	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Caronnese - Alcione	0:2 ✺
22.01.23	Casatese - Caronnese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLLT
- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
19.02.23	Real Calepina - Ponte San Pietro Isola	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Brusaporto - Real Calepina	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Real Calepina - Varese	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Villa Valle - Real Calepina	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Real Calepina - Arconatese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
23.10.22	Real Calepina - Caronnese	0:0

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