The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arconatese 27.7%
Draw 28.8%
Varese 43.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.8%
30.1%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arconatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arconatese's form might have worsened.
Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varese's recent form is better than expected.
Arconatese - Varese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, ⚽,
35', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 0 - 4, ⚽,
70', 1 - 4, ⚽,
84', 1 - 5, ⚽,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 16th in the Serie D - Group D (Play Out: ) and 9th).
Performances by Varese have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Arconatese has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:2 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arconatese against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals (averaging 0.5:0 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Varese FC
9
3
4
2
14:8
6
13
15
Arconatese
9
1
3
5
7:20
-13
6
Last Results with these Odds
Varese - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.18%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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