Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 26

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Arconatese		Varese

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	3.8
	1.81	3.2	4.14
	1.92	3	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.82)	3.13 ↓ (3.25)	4.06 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arconatese
48.9%

Draw
28.9%

Varese
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.8%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

26.8%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arconatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arconatese than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Recent matches Arconatese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Città di Varese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Arconatese is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arconatese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Arconatese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GS Arconatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.02.23	Arconatese - Villa Valle	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Sona - Arconatese	0:4 ✺
12.02.23	Arconatese - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Breno - Arconatese	2:3 ✺
29.01.23	Arconatese - Varesina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLWL
- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.02.23	Varese - Desenzano Calvina	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Breno - Varese	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Varese - Varesina	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Real Calepina - Varese	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Varese - Casatese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
29.10.22	Varese - Arconatese	1:3
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.05.21	Arconatese - Varese	0:0
06.01.21	Varese - Arconatese	1:2

Arconatese - Varese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide