Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Sandro Cabassi (Carpi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Carpi		Cittadella

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.50	3.20	1.90
	3.45	2.95	1.98	Watch
	3.76	3.49	2.00
	3.54	3.35	1.98	Watch
	3.55	3.45	1.98
	3.75	3.34	1.99	Watch
	3.50	3.25	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.05)	3.29 ↑ (3.05)	1.97 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
25.6%

Draw
27.9%

Cittadella
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cittadella's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cittadella, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carpi - Cittadella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Scacchetti A. (G) 4. Zagnoni D. (C) 19. Rossini M. 24. Desole F. 25. Vaglica G. 5. Figoli M. 6. Astrologo A. 10. Casarini F. 23. Morosini L. 11. Puletto F. 9. Montipo M.	69. Zanellati A. (G) 24. Gobbato M. 4. Toffanin F. 87. Martella B. 7. Anastasia E. 19. D'Alessio F. 5. Barberis A. 23. Paolucci L. 43. Ndrecka A. 16. Ekuban J. 11. Falcinelli D. (C)
Substitutes
8. Bagatti N. 18. Carcani T. 7. Cecotti T. 21. Forapani M. 22. Gasperini T. (G) 44. Gatti R. 27. Giva N. 17. Lombardi L. 2. Maggio S. 16. Nesi L. 12. Perta A. A. (G) 83. Sall A. 90. Vitale V. 14. Zarpellon L.	8. Amatucci F. 10. Antonucci M. 71. Ceccarelli A. 14. Crialese C. 99. Fabbro M. 33. Frisenna G. 18. Ignatov E. 2. Maniero L. (G) 9. Mensah D. 20. Sangalli M. 22. Sommacal C. (G) 36. Zilio A.
Coaches
Cassani S.	Musso R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Zagnoni D. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Montipo M. ⚽, Morosini L. (A),
30', Anastasia E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Vaglica G. ↓, Nesi L. ↑,
46', Anastasia E. ↓, Antonucci M. ↑,
46', Gobbato M. ↓, Amatucci F. ↑,
57', Astrologo A. 🟨,
63', Morosini L. ↓, Forapani M. ↑,
64', Astrologo A. ↓, Carcani T. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Paolucci L. ⚽, Falcinelli D. (A),
67', Casarini F. ↓, Bagatti N. ↑,
71', Falcinelli D. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
72', Ekuban J. ↓, Fabbro M. ↑,
81', Barberis A. ↓, Frisenna G. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Antonucci M. ⚽,
88', Montipo M. ↓, Sall A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 1.

Carpi is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cittadella is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Cittadella has had a series of home games.

Cittadella could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Carpi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cittadella	9	8	0	1	16:4	12	24
16	Carpi	9	1	3	5	11:19	-8	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group A
06.09.26	AlbinoLeffe - Carpi	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Carpi - Pro Vercelli	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
30.08.26	Carpi - Juventus U23	3:3 ✺
21.08.26	Brescia - Carpi	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Carpi - Pianese	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTLW
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
06.09.26	Cittadella - Lumezzane	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.09.26	Cittadella - Renate	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
31.08.26	Renate - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Cittadella - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.08.26	Cittadella - Atalanta U23	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
18.08.19	Cittadella - Carpi	4:3 penalties
Italian Serie B
26.01.19	Cittadella - Carpi	3:1
01.09.18	Carpi - Cittadella	0:1
12.05.18	Carpi - Cittadella	1:1
21.12.17	Cittadella - Carpi	0:1
22.05.17	Cittadella - Carpi	1:2
22.04.17	Cittadella - Carpi	4:1

Carpi - Cittadella: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide