Match Info

Date: 27 January 2021, Wednesday


	Carpi		FeralpiSalò

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	2.2	3.1	3	Watch
	2.25	3.05	2.9
	2.15	2.95	3.2
	2.25	3.24	3.43
	2.2	3.1	3.25
	2.2	3.2	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.27)	3.11 ↓ (3.18)	3.19 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
41.9%

Draw
29.5%

FeralpiSalò
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

28.7%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

21.1%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

FeralpiSalò has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carpi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FeralpiSalò could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carpi - FeralpiSalò Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Carpi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carpi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carpi won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Carpi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.21	Sambenedettese - Carpi	5:1 ✺
20.01.21	Matelica - Carpi	1:0 ✺
17.01.21	Carpi - Ravenna	4:2 ✺
13.12.20	Carpi - Gubbio	2:2 ✺
06.12.20	Virtus Verona - Carpi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWTT
- FeralpiSalò
Italian Serie C Group B
23.01.21	Arezzo - FeralpiSalò	2:3 ✺
17.01.21	Perugia - FeralpiSalò	3:2 ✺
09.01.21	FeralpiSalò - Sambenedettese	1:2 ✺
19.12.20	FeralpiSalò - Fermana	1:1 ✺
13.12.20	Fano - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
06.10.19	Carpi - FeralpiSalò	1:0
Club Friendly
18.08.18	FeralpiSalò - Carpi	0:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
14.04.13	FeralpiSalò - Carpi	0:1
25.11.12	Carpi - FeralpiSalò	3:0

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