Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme (San Benedetto del Tronto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Sambenedettese		Carpi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3	3.35
	2.25	3.06	3.41
	2.67	2.58	3.20	Watch
	2.16	3.04	3.27	Watch
	2.05	3.14	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.15)	2.96 ↓ (3.04)	3.38 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
41.1%

Draw
31.4%

Carpi
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30.1%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Sambenedettese - Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Orsini T. (G) 15. Zoboletti A. 17. Pezzola L. 21. Dalmazzi A. 14. Tosi F. 18. Candellori K. 24. Alfieri V. 47. Konate A. 7. Marranzino P. 23. Toure N. 9. Eusepi U. (C)	1. Sorzi M. (G) 4. Zagnoni D. 6. Panelli T. 19. Rossini M. 3. Rigo M. 8. Amayah P. 29. Rosetti M. 7. Cecotti T. 20. Forte R. 72. Cortesi M. (C) 23. Sall A.
Substitutes
11. Battista N. 8. Bongelli R. 5. Chelli M. 32. Chiatante F. 22. Cultraro G. (G) 12. Grillo M. (G) 77. Iaiunese C. 6. Lulli L. 70. Martins K. 20. Paolini S. 10. Sbaffo A. 90. Scafetta F. 37. Toure M. 19. Vesprini R.	70. Arcopinto A. 11. Casarini F. 5. Figoli M. 9. Gerbi E. 17. Lombardi L. 18. Mahrani Y. 80. Pietra N. 33. Pitti E. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 10. Stanzani L. 2. Verza N. 77. Visani R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Cecotti T. 🟨,
13', Pezzola L. 🟨,
38', Tosi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Marranzino P. ↓, Battista N. ↑,
46', Tosi F. ↓, Paolini S. ↑,
57', Sall A. ↓, Gerbi E. ↑,
63', Dalmazzi A. ↓, Vesprini R. ↑,
72', Toure N. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Cortesi M. ⚽,
75', Forte R. ↓, Casarini F. ↑,
77', Zoboletti A. ↓, Sbaffo A. ↑,
82', Amayah P. ↓, Figoli M. ↑,
82', Rosetti M. ↓, Pietra N. ↑,
82', Cecotti T. ↓, Verza N. ↑,
87', Cortesi M. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sambenedettese will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sambenedettese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Sambenedettese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
13.09.25	Pianese - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Sambenedettese - Forlì	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Gubbio - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Sambenedettese - Bra	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLTWW
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
14.09.25	Ternana - Carpi	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Carpi - Campobasso	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Pianese - Carpi	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Carpi - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Carpi - Trento	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.21	Sambenedettese - Carpi	5:1
27.09.20	Carpi - Sambenedettese	2:0
15.12.19	Carpi - Sambenedettese	1:0

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