Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 8

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Carrarese		Ancona

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	3.9
	1.85	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.36	4.4
	1.73	3.2	4.33
	1.77	3.34	4.2	Watch
	1.84	3.35	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.18)	3.3 ↑ (3.13)	4.16 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
50.4%

Draw
27.6%

Ancona
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.8%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carrarese's performance.

Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ancona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carrarese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ancona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Carrarese - Ancona Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 21. Coppolaro M. 15. Di Gennaro M. 3. Imperiale M. 7. Grassini D. 5. Della L. S. 18. Schiavi N. 8. Palmieri R. 39. Belloni N. 28. Capello A. 10. Panico G.	32. Perucchini F. (G) 31. Dutu E. 4. Cella S. 13. Marenco F. 7. Peli L. 6. Nador S. 99. Basso G. 21. Paolucci L. 3. Martina A. 11. Cioffi A. 9. Spagnoli A.
Substitutes
26. Cartano R. 6. Cerretelli F. 99. Giannetti N. 4. Illanes J. 22. Mazzini S. (G) 24. Morosini L. 20. Opoola M. O. 30. Sementa M. 27. Simeri S. 12. Tampucci T. (G) 72. Zanon S. 17. Zuelli E.	19. Agyemang G. 23. Clemente G. 10. Energe A. 80. Gavioli L. 20. Kristoffersen . J. 72. Mattioli A. 30. Pellizzari S. 34. Radicchio V. M. 94. Saco C. 22. Testagrossa G. (G) 17. Useini D. 12. Vitali L. (G)

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Carrarese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Carrarese is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
09.10.23	Gubbio - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Carrarese - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
30.09.23	Carrarese - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Olbia - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
20.09.23	Sassari Torres - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWTL
- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
08.10.23	Ancona - Vis Pesaro	3:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Ancona - Pineto	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
01.10.23	Olbia - Ancona	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Ancona - Juventus U23	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Cesena - Ancona	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
14.05.23	Carrarese - Ancona	0:1
Italian Serie C Group B
01.04.23	Ancona - Carrarese	3:3
29.11.22	Carrarese - Ancona	2:0
19.03.22	Ancona - Carrarese	2:0
13.11.21	Carrarese - Ancona	1:1
13.02.16	Ancona - Carrarese	0:0
04.10.15	Carrarese - Ancona	2:1

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