Match Info

Serie B - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara)

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	OneFootball TV


	Carrarese		Benevento

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.30	2.30	Watch
	2.90	3.30	2.35
	2.90	3.35	2.33	Watch
	3.20	3.35	2.43
	3.04	3.3	2.31	Watch
	3.15	3.20	2.35
	3.10	3.30	2.35	Watch
	2.90	3.35	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.38)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)	2.35 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
31.1%

Draw
28.6%

Benevento
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.2%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

28.1%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carrarese's form might have worsened.

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benevento's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carrarese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benevento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Carrarese - Benevento Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Benevento will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 13. Ruggeri F. 6. Oliana F. 33. Reale F. 2. Dagba C. 28. Martini J. 18. Schiavi N. (C) 10. Rubino T. 73. Rouhi J. 91. Marconi G. 9. Abiuso F.	26. Vannucchi G. (G) 77. Pierozzi E. 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Saio P. 17. Sernicola L. 6. Siatounis A. 8. Maita M. (C) 28. Kouan C. 11. Lamesta D. 29. Okereke D. 9. Salvemini F.
Substitutes
7. Belloni N. 21. Bonfanti N. 23. Braunoder M. 11. Cisse M. 70. Cudrig N. 32. Finotto M. 12. Garofani G. (G) 5. Macchioni T. 77. Parlanti G. 30. Ravaglia N. (G) 41. Romani L. 17. Topalovic L.	20. Beruatto P. 5. Caldirola L. 10. Cherubini L. 15. Dalle Mura C. 22. Esposito M. (G) 16. Mannini M. 32. Mignani G. 4. Prisco A. 21. Schimmenti E. 96. Sylla A. (G) 38. Talia A. 93. Tumminello M.
Coaches
Cioffi G.	Floro Flores A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Siatounis A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Rubino T. ↓, Topalovic L. ↑,
49', Schiavi N. ↓, Parlanti G. ↑,
59', Siatounis A. ↓, Prisco A. ↑,
61', Parlanti G. 🟨,
66', 0 - 1, Prisco A. ⚽,
66', Prisco A. 🟨,
68', Marconi G. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
68', Dagba C. ↓, Cudrig N. ↑,
68', Ruggeri F. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
77', Okereke D. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
85', Kouan C. 🟨,
87', Salvemini F. ↓, Mignani G. ↑,
87', Sernicola L. ↓, Beruatto P. ↑,
87', Lamesta D. ↓, Caldirola L. ↑,

Preview

Carrarese is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Benevento is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Carrarese may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Carrarese: Vujevic D. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Benevento: Battista V. (Inactive) Romano R. (Ankle Injury) Simonetti P. (Injury) Verdi S. (Foot Injury).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Carrarese has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Carrarese against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Benevento: 1.93% Carrarese: 0.21%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Benevento	5	2	1	2	6:5	1	7
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Last Results with these Odds

Carrarese - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.11%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
12.09.26	Catanzaro - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Carrarese - Empoli	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ascoli - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Carrarese - Mantova	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.26	Torino - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLL
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
11.09.26	Benevento - Verona	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Ascoli - Benevento	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Benevento - Modena	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Fiorentina - Benevento	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
02.06.24	Benevento - Carrarese	2:2
28.05.24	Carrarese - Benevento	1:0
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
10.02.13	Benevento - Carrarese	1:0

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