Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Carshalton Athletic		Chichester City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	2.75
	2.08	3.75	2.78
	2.02	4.21	2.82
	2.13	3.62	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.02)	3.82 ↑ (3.5)	2.8 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carshalton Athletic
43.8%

Draw
23.7%

Chichester City
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

25.8%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

25.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carshalton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Chichester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chichester City than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Carshalton Athletic - Chichester City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Carshalton (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carshalton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 0 - 1, Rustell L. ⚽,
64', Dylan P. 🟨,
77', 0 - 2, Vigar B. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 3, Martin C. ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carshalton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Carshalton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.08.25	Dartford - Carshalton Athletic	4:1 ✺
16.08.25	Carshalton Athletic - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	Carshalton Athletic - Lewes	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Carshalton Athletic	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.25	Carshalton Athletic - Sutton Common Rovers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWT
- Chichester City
English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.08.25	Chichester City - Welling United	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Hashtag United - Chichester City	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Whitehawk - Chichester City	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Chichester City - Folkestone Invicta	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.25	Chichester City - Bognor Regis Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.12.24	Carshalton Athletic - Chichester City	1:2
17.08.24	Chichester City - Carshalton Athletic	1:3

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