Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Carshalton Athletic		Dartford

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.40	2.50
	2.23	3.20	2.65
	2.57	3.55	2.38
	2.55	3.58	2.41	Watch
	2.50	3.50	2.35
	2.54	3.40	2.35
	2.43	3.35	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.41)	3.43 ↓ (3.48)	2.44 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carshalton Athletic
36.7%

Draw
26.3%

Dartford
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.4%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carshalton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Dartford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Carshalton Athletic - Dartford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Pinder J. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Greenhalgh B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 3, Smith D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Carshalton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carshalton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Carshalton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Dartford: 10.27% Carshalton: 4.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Dartford	10	7	0	3	16:11	5	21
4	Carshalton	11	7	0	4	18:19	-1	21

Last Results with these Odds

Carshalton Athletic - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.18%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carshalton Athletic
English FA Cup
07.09.26	Carshalton Athletic - Chertsey Town	1:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.08.26	Three Bridges - Carshalton Athletic	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Carshalton Athletic - Brentwood Town	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Stanway Rovers - Carshalton Athletic	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWW
- Dartford
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.08.26	Dartford - Chatham Town	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Burgess Hill Town - Dartford	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Dartford - Welling United	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Maldon & Tiptree - Dartford	1:2 ✺
11.08.26	Dartford - Brentwood Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.04.26	Carshalton Athletic - Dartford	2:2
23.08.25	Dartford - Carshalton Athletic	4:1
26.04.25	Dartford - Carshalton Athletic	1:4
24.08.24	Carshalton Athletic - Dartford	0:1
Club Friendly
20.07.21	Carshalton Athletic - Dartford	1:3

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