The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cartagena 39%
Draw 31.3%
Alcorcón 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
29%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
27.6%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cartagena's form might have worsened.
Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcorcón's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcorcón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Cartagena - Alcorcón Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Garcia L. (G) 18. Perejon D. 23. Hernandez A. 5. Baz I. 22. Martinez N. (C) 11. Redondo L. 10. Larrea P. 8. De Blasis P. 3. Jimenez N. 17. Sanchez K. 19. Chiki
1. Ayesa G. (G) 23. Navarro D. 19. Pola J. 4. Rojas J. 15. Rodriguez S. 10. Ballesteros Y. (C) 5. Rai 18. Aguado T. 7. Aparicio E. 9. Carmona M. 14. Vacas L.
Substitutes
31. Abellan I. 14. Alcaniz E. 24. Carrascal M. 37. Chatiliez W. 12. Ebro Cortina E. 2. Jurado M. 1. Martinez I. (G) 9. Ortuno A. 21. Ramirez B.
35. Arcos D. 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 11. Kopotun V. 8. Martinez B. 13. Marti O. (G) 3. Nieto S. 17. Ouhdadi O. 28. Santana dos Santos E. L. 16. Tounkara N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Redondo L. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Ballesteros Y. ⚽,
34', Rai 🟨,
37', Chiki ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
45+1', 2 - 1, De Blasis P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Carmona M. ↓, Kopotun V. ↑,
46', Rai ↓, Tounkara N. ↑,
67', Aguado T. ↓, Ouhdadi O. ↑,
74', Redondo L. ↓, Alcaniz E. ↑,
75', Larrea P. 🟨,
82', Navarro D. ↓, Nieto S. ↑,
82', Ballesteros Y. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
86', Sanchez K. 🟨,
86', Ouhdadi O. 🟨,
89', Sanchez K. ↓, Abellan I. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 3.
Cartagena is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Alcorcón has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Cartagena might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Cartagena won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
Spain
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Garcia L. (G) 
Perejon D. 
De Blasis P. 
Chatiliez W. 
Kopotun V. 
Ouhdadi O. 
Santana dos Santos E. L. 
